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Another big day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the cards, and we've run thousands of Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 simulations to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Tuesday, May 28, 2024.
Tuesday's NBA Western Conference Finals Game 4 between the Wolves and Mavs is set to showcase big names such as Anthony Edwards, Luka Doncic and Karl-Anthony Towns, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Tuesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 28.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 28, 2024
With Game 4 of the Western Conference finals between Minnesota and Dallas on the slate for tonight, we have determined the probabiliy of each of the 10 likely starters scoring first.
| Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 14.4% |
| Luka Doncic (Mavericks) | 12.5% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves) | 11.8% |
| Kyrie Irving (Mavericks) | 11.0% |
| Daniel Gafford (Mavericks) | 10.9% |
| P.J. Washington (Mavericks) | 8.6% |
| Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves) | 8.5% |
| Mike Conley (Timberwolves) | 7.7% |
| Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves) | 7.6% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 14.4%.
Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Luka Doncic, with a 12.5% probability, and Karl-Anthony Towns, with a 11.8% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Tuesday, which does not necessarily mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.
To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.
Best First Basket Picks Today: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4
Having simulated the result of today's Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Tuesday.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.
1. P.J. Washington To Score First Basket (+1200)
- Odds: +1200
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 8.6%
- Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday, which is in the game between the Timberwolves and Mavericks. The bet is on P.J. Washington (DAL) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 0.9%.
Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 28, 2024
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 28, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, May 28, have been generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.
![NBA First Basket Predictions Today: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 [2024] (1)](https://i0.wp.com/imgix.cosmicjs.com/60f2e350-883c-11ee-9ebe-eb22b0517bf0-4fcc9a098f3bdc87eff8ab904f646c95.png?w=100 "NBA First Basket Predictions Today: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 [2024] (1)")
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content.
With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.
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